Diplomacy & Defense Think Tank News

Niels Keijzer zu afrikanischer Integration und der Agenda 2063 im Zeitalter der Globalisierung

Niels Keijzer zu afrikanischer Integration und der Agenda 2063 im Zeitalter der Globalisierung

Niels Keijzer zu afrikanischer Integration und der Agenda 2063 im Zeitalter der Globalisierung

Die heutige Rede von Bundeskanzlerin Angela Merkel zum weiteren Vorgehen in der Corona-Krise kommentiert DIW-Präsident Marcel Fratzscher wie folgt:

Die Bundesregierung hat mit den Ministerpräsidentinnen und -präsidenten der Länder eine vorsichtige und flexible Ausstiegstrategie gewählt. Ich halte diese Strategie aus drei Gründen für klug. Zum einen setzt sie ein klares Signal, dass der Schutz von Menschenleben und Gesundheit die oberste Priorität der Politik bleibt. Zum anderen geht sie mit der nötigen Umsicht vor, da die Unsicherheit über den weiteren Verlauf der Pandemie nach wie vor enorm groß ist. Aber, und das ist der dritte Grund, sie gibt der Politik genug Flexibilität, um auf neue Daten und Fakten angemessen reagieren zu können. Die Politik beweist damit Rückgrat und Standhaftigkeit, indem sie den immer lauter werdenden Forderungen nach baldigen und möglichst weitgehenden Lockerungen widersteht und nicht anderen Ländern mit deutlich schnelleren Ausstiegstrategien folgt. Das Signal, Entscheidungen auf Daten und Fakten, und nicht auf Gefühlen und Forderungen, zu basieren, ist richtig und stärkt der Politik in diesen Zeiten bei ihrer wichtigsten Aufgabe: das Vertrauen der Bürgerinnen und Bürger zu wahren. Dass ein Teil des Einzelhandels nun wieder seine Arbeit aufnehmen kann, ist ein ermutigendes Zeichen und sorgt bei vielen für Erleichterung. Doch auch der Wirtschaft dient ein zu schneller Ausstieg nicht, wenn es zu einer zweiten Welle von Ansteckungen kommt und dann weitere Maßnahmen notwendig würden. Ein zentrales Manko des Ausstiegs ist jedoch eine mangelhafte Strategie der Vorsorge in Bezug auf Maskenpflicht, deutlich mehr Tests und einer Nachverfolgung von Infizierten, um zu verhindern, dass mit den Lockerungen eine neue Ansteckungswelle losbricht. Empfehlungen reichen nicht. Auch dem Schutz von Risikogruppen muss eine höhere Priorität eingeräumt werden, die mit konkreten Maßnahmen untermauert wird. Die Politik sollte der Versuchung weiterhin widerstehen, den Interessen einiger weniger zu folgen. Eine kluge Ausstiegstrategie sollte sicherstellen, dass alle Menschen so weit wie möglich, aber auch dauerhaft wieder in ein geregeltes Alltags- und Berufsleben zurückkehren können.

Zusammenfassung:

Die Verbreitung des Corona-Virus trifft die Wirtschaft weltweit hart. Wie hart genau, ist jedoch schwer vorherzusehen. Prognosen über den Verlauf und die wirtschaftlichen Folgen von Epidemien sind auch deshalb sehr unsicher, weil es an entsprechenden Modellen für die Dynamik von Epidemien mangelt. Ein nachrichtenbasierter Epidemieindex, der Medienberichte für den Zeitraum von Januar 1990 bis Februar 2020 einbezieht, kann an dieser Stelle ansetzen und helfen, die konjunkturellen Auswirkungen epidemischer Schocks auf die deutsche und globale Wirtschaft zu schätzen. Die Analyse zeigt, dass es weltweit zu signifikanten Produktionsrückgängen kommt, die nicht wieder aufgeholt werden, sondern dauerhafter Natur sind. Widerstandsfähige Gesundheitssysteme und eine expansive Wirtschaftspolitik können dazu beitragen, die Kosten von Pandemien zu reduzieren.

As the EU devises a fiscal response to Covid-19, Irene Monasterolo and Ulrich Volz outline a combined bond issuance plan that also expands the Green Deal.

As the EU devises a fiscal response to Covid-19, Irene Monasterolo and Ulrich Volz outline a combined bond issuance plan that also expands the Green Deal.

As the EU devises a fiscal response to Covid-19, Irene Monasterolo and Ulrich Volz outline a combined bond issuance plan that also expands the Green Deal.

The UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted in 2015, is a very good starting point for efforts of the G20 to define collective action that addresses the challenges of globalisation. In 2016, the G20 made important progress at the Hangzhou Summit by adopting the “Action Plan on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. During the 2017 Hamburg Summit, the G20 re-emphasised their commitment to the 2030 Agenda in the official Summit communique and decided to take additional steps to promote the implementation of the 2030 Agenda. In the Buenos Aires Update, adopted in 2018, G20 leaders committed to highlighting collective G20 actions taken so far on implementing the Action Plan. The Osaka Update, adopted in 2019, highlights priorities and new collective actions put forward by the Japanese G20 Presidency, strengthens the multistakeholder dialogue on the 2030 Agenda and continues the peer learning mechanism on the implementation of the Action Plan. While these commitments represent steps into the right direction, more needs to be done by the G20 to deliver on the implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This chapter discusses the main elements of the 2030 Agenda and assesses its specific implementation challenges. It also investigates the role of the G20 and outlines the main steps the G20 has to undertake in order to use its potential for promoting implementation. The chapter concludes by enumerating policy recommendations for future G20 summits with a view to the implementation of the 2030 Agenda.

The UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted in 2015, is a very good starting point for efforts of the G20 to define collective action that addresses the challenges of globalisation. In 2016, the G20 made important progress at the Hangzhou Summit by adopting the “Action Plan on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. During the 2017 Hamburg Summit, the G20 re-emphasised their commitment to the 2030 Agenda in the official Summit communique and decided to take additional steps to promote the implementation of the 2030 Agenda. In the Buenos Aires Update, adopted in 2018, G20 leaders committed to highlighting collective G20 actions taken so far on implementing the Action Plan. The Osaka Update, adopted in 2019, highlights priorities and new collective actions put forward by the Japanese G20 Presidency, strengthens the multistakeholder dialogue on the 2030 Agenda and continues the peer learning mechanism on the implementation of the Action Plan. While these commitments represent steps into the right direction, more needs to be done by the G20 to deliver on the implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This chapter discusses the main elements of the 2030 Agenda and assesses its specific implementation challenges. It also investigates the role of the G20 and outlines the main steps the G20 has to undertake in order to use its potential for promoting implementation. The chapter concludes by enumerating policy recommendations for future G20 summits with a view to the implementation of the 2030 Agenda.

The UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, adopted in 2015, is a very good starting point for efforts of the G20 to define collective action that addresses the challenges of globalisation. In 2016, the G20 made important progress at the Hangzhou Summit by adopting the “Action Plan on the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development”. During the 2017 Hamburg Summit, the G20 re-emphasised their commitment to the 2030 Agenda in the official Summit communique and decided to take additional steps to promote the implementation of the 2030 Agenda. In the Buenos Aires Update, adopted in 2018, G20 leaders committed to highlighting collective G20 actions taken so far on implementing the Action Plan. The Osaka Update, adopted in 2019, highlights priorities and new collective actions put forward by the Japanese G20 Presidency, strengthens the multistakeholder dialogue on the 2030 Agenda and continues the peer learning mechanism on the implementation of the Action Plan. While these commitments represent steps into the right direction, more needs to be done by the G20 to deliver on the implementation of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This chapter discusses the main elements of the 2030 Agenda and assesses its specific implementation challenges. It also investigates the role of the G20 and outlines the main steps the G20 has to undertake in order to use its potential for promoting implementation. The chapter concludes by enumerating policy recommendations for future G20 summits with a view to the implementation of the 2030 Agenda.

The notion of industrial policy has gained prominence on the policy agenda over the last decade, despite the persistence of an ambiguous and incomplete definition. An inconclusive definition is problematic because it inhibits scholars and policy makers to compare and monitor the impact of industrial policy between developing countries. A deficient definition is also troublesome because it fails to account for issues that are relevant to the impact and usefulness of industrial policy in the process of economic development. We perform a critical literature review of industrial policy and also undertake a policy review, and use insights from 86 structured interviews held with manufacturing businesses and government officials in Ethiopia, to point out how industrial policy could be more effective. The paper finds that there is no clear and exhaustive understanding of what the definition of industrial policy entails. In part this inappropriate definition is also a result of a limited and incoherent use of the notion of structural transformation in the definition and policy formulation of industrial policy. Using a case study on Ethiopia we show how a deficient and incoherent definition and implementation of industrial policy can render limited upgrading, learning and innovation in an underdeveloped economy. For Ethiopia, but also other underdeveloped economies, the findings imply a reconfiguration of industrial policy, not more pervasive industrial policy.

The notion of industrial policy has gained prominence on the policy agenda over the last decade, despite the persistence of an ambiguous and incomplete definition. An inconclusive definition is problematic because it inhibits scholars and policy makers to compare and monitor the impact of industrial policy between developing countries. A deficient definition is also troublesome because it fails to account for issues that are relevant to the impact and usefulness of industrial policy in the process of economic development. We perform a critical literature review of industrial policy and also undertake a policy review, and use insights from 86 structured interviews held with manufacturing businesses and government officials in Ethiopia, to point out how industrial policy could be more effective. The paper finds that there is no clear and exhaustive understanding of what the definition of industrial policy entails. In part this inappropriate definition is also a result of a limited and incoherent use of the notion of structural transformation in the definition and policy formulation of industrial policy. Using a case study on Ethiopia we show how a deficient and incoherent definition and implementation of industrial policy can render limited upgrading, learning and innovation in an underdeveloped economy. For Ethiopia, but also other underdeveloped economies, the findings imply a reconfiguration of industrial policy, not more pervasive industrial policy.

The notion of industrial policy has gained prominence on the policy agenda over the last decade, despite the persistence of an ambiguous and incomplete definition. An inconclusive definition is problematic because it inhibits scholars and policy makers to compare and monitor the impact of industrial policy between developing countries. A deficient definition is also troublesome because it fails to account for issues that are relevant to the impact and usefulness of industrial policy in the process of economic development. We perform a critical literature review of industrial policy and also undertake a policy review, and use insights from 86 structured interviews held with manufacturing businesses and government officials in Ethiopia, to point out how industrial policy could be more effective. The paper finds that there is no clear and exhaustive understanding of what the definition of industrial policy entails. In part this inappropriate definition is also a result of a limited and incoherent use of the notion of structural transformation in the definition and policy formulation of industrial policy. Using a case study on Ethiopia we show how a deficient and incoherent definition and implementation of industrial policy can render limited upgrading, learning and innovation in an underdeveloped economy. For Ethiopia, but also other underdeveloped economies, the findings imply a reconfiguration of industrial policy, not more pervasive industrial policy.

Blogpost on what we know about remittances in times of crisis, with focus on Somali East Africa and its diaspora

Mellemøsten er truet af den største humanitære krise, siden regionen blev skabt på ruinerne af Det Osmanniske Rige

Melanie Koch, Research Associate in the International Economics Department and GC Class of 2015, has successfully defended her dissertation at Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.

The dissertation with the title "Non-Standard Preferences and Beliefs in Financial Decision Making" was supervised by Prof. Dr. Lukas Menkhoff (DIW Berlin) and Prof. Dr. Georg Weizsäcker (HU).

We congratulate Melanie on her success and wish her all the best for her future career.

Both foreign donors and local independent initiatives were won over by decentralization-efforts and reforms in Yemen during the 1980s and onwards. Reforms that didn´t lead to better service delivery, but merely strengthened patronage networks

Both foreign donors and local independent initiatives we´re won over by decentralization-efforts and reforms in Yemen during the 1980s and onwards. Reforms that didn´t lead to better service delivery, but merely strengthened patronage networks